Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 108.81 | $0.919 | $103.97 | +$3.97 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 10.44 |
| $0.958 |
| $10.18 |
| +$0.18 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 10.04 | $0.996 | $9.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 7.17 | $0.837 | $6.9 | +$0.9 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 6.24 | $0.962 | $6.12 | +$0.12 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $4.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 1.25 | $0.800 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 1.02 |
| $0.980 |
| $1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 PortlandFire vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETDown | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.821 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.825 | $2 | May 21, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?Down | sell | 172.47 | $0.590 | $101.76 | May 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Jiujiang: Aoran Wang vs Alex BoltAlex Bolt | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 1.21 | $0.820 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Sloane StephensTereza Valentova | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.940 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.800 | $0.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.07 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 108.81 | $0.919 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.27 | $0.760 | $0.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.998 | $1.1K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: InControl vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsInControl | buy | 1.48 | $0.660 | $0.98 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.998 | $1.1K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 5.27 | $0.948 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No | sell | 1.16K | $0.998 | $1.16K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.999 | $1.16K | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |