Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 188.51 | $0.940 | $177.2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 900 |
| $0.196 |
| $176.3 |
| Aug 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.580 | $522 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.999 | $224.78 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by July meeting?No | sell | 300 | $0.984 | $295.2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by July meeting?No | buy | 300 | $0.965 | $289.5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 0.63 | $0.994 | $0.63 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | sell | 192 | $0.994 | $190.85 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.956 | $20.08 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 272.63 | $0.957 | $260.91 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 302 | $0.929 | $280.57 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 205 | $0.937 | $192.09 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.963 | $192.6 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 425 | $0.940 | $399.5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 428.09 | $0.930 | $398.12 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 190 | $0.790 | $150.1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 150 | $0.981 | $147.15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 75 | $0.931 | $69.83 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 22 | $0.927 | $20.39 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.976 | $146.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 220.14 | $0.980 | $215.74 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 223.74 | $0.997 | $223.07 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 223.74 | $0.916 | $205 | May 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 218 | $0.930 | $202.74 | May 27, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 198.86 | $0.880 | $175 | May 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 239.29 | $0.836 | $200 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 208.33 | $0.981 | $204.37 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 208.33 | $0.960 | $200 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 377.67 | $0.989 | $373.52 | May 2, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.950 | $150 | May 1, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Apr 29, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 351.69 | $0.998 | $350.99 | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 115.47 | $0.866 | $100 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | sell | 108.69 | $0.922 | $100.19 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?No | sell | 119.04 | $0.840 | $99.99 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | buy | 236.22 | $0.762 | $180 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 177.66 | $0.985 | $175 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 175.38 | $0.999 | $175.2 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase?No | sell | 102.33 | $0.988 | $101.14 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.959 | $35 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase?No | buy | 51.12 | $0.978 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase?No | buy | 51.21 | $0.976 | $50 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 107.83 | $0.927 | $100 | Mar 6, 2025 |
 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 236.65 | $0.999 | $236.41 | Mar 6, 2025 |
| 25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 205.49 | $0.983 | $202 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.969 | $13 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 31.38 | $0.956 | $30 | Feb 20, 2025 |