Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 8d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.987 |
| $1 |
| Sep 2, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.55 | $0.645 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 3?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Bellato vs. CraigBellato | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 3?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on June 3?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.823 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured in May?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.883 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in May 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in May 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72–73°F on May 27?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 27?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $109K on May 25 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.939 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration before July?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 23, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 23?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.799 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2800 on May 23?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.942 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 21 at 5 PM ET?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.989 | $1.1 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 64–65°F on May 21?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 21 at 5 PM ET?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 21, 2025 |