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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.8K | $0.926 | $1.72K | +$52.2 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.4K | $0.231 | $786.31 | 16d ago |
 |
| No |
| 866.15 |
| $0.800 |
| $705.91 |
| +$13.18 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 865.25 | $0.463 | $679.22 | +$278.66 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 719.48 | $0.767 | $672.71 | +$120.72 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 555.38 | $0.857 | $538.44 | +$62.3 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 519.9 | $0.834 | $482.73 | +$48.88 |
 Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026? | No | 399.97 | $0.830 | $374.97 | +$43 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 333.37 | $0.900 | $315.03 | +$15.03 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 299.89 | $0.887 | $277.4 | +$11.5 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.64K | $0.475 | $236.58 | -$1.49K |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $183 | +$17 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 109.04 | $0.917 | $104.84 | +$4.84 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 10.41K | $0.088 | $67.7 | -$845.33 |
| sell |
| 1.04K |
| $0.930 |
| $966.79 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 499.99 | $0.550 | $274.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.036 | $0.19 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.200 | $2.58 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 499.99 | $0.560 | $279.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.72K | $0.115 | $311.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 333.37 | $0.900 | $300 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.528 | $263.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 569.49 | $0.252 | $143.42 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.103 | $20.7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 17?Down | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 300 | $0.910 | $273 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.003 | $30 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 17?Down | buy | 6 | $0.560 | $3.36 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.006 | $60 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 17?Down | buy | 6 | $0.550 | $3.3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.910 | $181.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.012 | $120 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 121.7 | $0.904 | $110 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 224.11 | $0.892 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.021 | $147 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 439.56 | $0.910 | $400 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.020 | $60 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 147.1 | $0.021 | $3.09 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 655.86 | $0.634 | $415.99 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.32K | $0.172 | $400 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 127.74 | $0.783 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 128.14 | $0.780 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.778 | $23.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 13.9 | $0.795 | $11.05 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.064 | $32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.107 | $21.4 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | sell | 24.17 | $0.773 | $18.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 38.91 | $0.123 | $4.79 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.128 | $12.82 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 15?Up | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |