Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.97 | $0.320 | $0.27 | -$0.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 155 | $0.870 | $134.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.62 |
| $0.072 |
| $0.03 |
| -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 326 |
| $0.033 |
| $10.76 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 42 | $0.710 | $29.82 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 169 | $0.720 | $121.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.033 | $4.29 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.520 | $37.96 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.490 | $35.77 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 151 | $0.967 | $146.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 151 | $0.967 | $146.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 159 | $0.920 | $146.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.170 | $46.24 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 143 | $0.894 | $127.84 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 143 | $0.895 | $127.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.022 | $0.48 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 191 | $0.250 | $47.75 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 635 | $0.170 | $107.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 635 | $0.190 | $120.65 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 188 | $0.910 | $171.08 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.880 | $30.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 172 | $0.900 | $154.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 163 | $0.783 | $127.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 480 | $0.156 | $74.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 480 | $0.155 | $74.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 233 | $0.320 | $74.56 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 360 | $0.320 | $115.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.580 | $20.88 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.580 | $78.88 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.016 | $1.2 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 243.38 | $0.072 | $17.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 8 | $0.450 | $3.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 397 | $0.450 | $178.65 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 405 | $0.450 | $182.25 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.650 | $107.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 288 | $0.015 | $4.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 12.3 | $0.030 | $0.37 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 355 | $0.030 | $10.65 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 370 | $0.500 | $185 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 370 | $0.500 | $185 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 208 | $0.812 | $168.9 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 207 | $0.820 | $169.74 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 207 | $0.800 | $165.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 190 | $0.955 | $181.45 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 190 | $0.955 | $181.45 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 76 | $0.988 | $75.09 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 173 | $0.954 | $165.04 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 183 | $0.988 | $180.8 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 461 | $0.310 | $142.91 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 501 | $0.310 | $155.31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.520 | $61.88 | Jun 2, 2026 |