Latest trade
Sep 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
Determined-Pastry has made $517.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:24 AM UTC.
$81.25 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 34 markets; 78.0% were buys. They run from Jan 21, 2026 UTC to Sep 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $3.12 | -$0.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-25 10:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 02:24 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-25 10:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.29K and losing ones cost $79.64 across 34 settled positions. 55.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $286.15 on “Trail Blazers vs. Suns” (Trail Blazers); the largest loss, $26.4 on “Starmer out by June 30, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Sep 2026. It has traded 42 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.12 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.190 |
| $1.9 |
| Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
 Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.013 | $0.26 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.038 | $0.76 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.063 | $1.26 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 240 | $0.510 | $122.4 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 240 | $0.610 | $146.4 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
 Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers | buy | 482.3 | $0.410 | $197.74 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers | buy | 596.76 | $0.910 | $543.05 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. RocketsKnicks | buy | 291.18 | $0.510 | $148.5 | Mar 31, 2026 UTC |
| Bulls vs. SpursBulls | buy | 119.59 | $0.060 | $7.18 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 404 | $0.560 | $226.24 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Spurs vs. BucksSpurs | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. SunsNuggets | buy | 220 | $0.660 | $145.2 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
| Thunder vs. 76ersThunder | buy | 400 | $0.920 | $368 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Thunder vs. WizardsThunder | buy | 400 | $0.960 | $384 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTrail Blazers | buy | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Lakers vs. HeatLakers | buy | 210 | $0.430 | $90.3 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
| Heat vs. HornetsHeat | buy | 60 | $0.410 | $24.6 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Magic vs. HawksMagic | buy | 170 | $0.450 | $76.5 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. LakersNuggets | buy | 600 | $0.570 | $342 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Knicks vs. PacersKnicks | buy | 440 | $0.870 | $382.79 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Suns vs. PacersSuns | buy | 388 | $0.780 | $302.64 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Raptors vs. PelicansPelicans | buy | 188 | $0.479 | $90.05 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Mavericks vs. HawksMavericks | buy | 185 | $0.239 | $44.22 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. ThunderNuggets | buy | 163 | $0.290 | $47.2 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. PistonsNets | buy | 130 | $0.120 | $15.6 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Hawks76ers | sell | 590 | $0.310 | $182.9 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Hawks76ers | buy | 590 | $0.320 | $188.7 | Mar 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.800 | $24 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 210.65 | $0.920 | $193.8 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 210.65 | $0.950 | $200.12 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 260 | $0.660 | $171.6 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 260 | $0.670 | $174.2 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?Yes | buy | 36.22 | $0.930 | $33.68 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.930 | $74.4 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.930 | $5.5 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?Yes | buy | 43.87 | $0.930 | $40.8 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.930 | $31.62 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 280 | $0.620 | $173.6 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 280 | $0.616 | $172.48 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
 Solana Up or Down - January 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 36.23 | $0.500 | $18.12 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETUp | sell | 199.21 | $0.524 | $104.38 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.