Latest trade
Aug 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 4:55 PM UTC.
Analytics
bm3i82qz3py9 is down $30.25 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 2, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 15, 4:55 PM UTC.
$0.41 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 167 markets; 40.5% were buys. They run from Feb 7, 2026 UTC to Aug 2, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 0.5 | $0.480 | $0.49 | +$0.25 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.560 | $0.01 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 13:47 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-15 16:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-15 16:55 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-12 18:04 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $5.58 and losing ones cost $10.23 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.44 on “Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.05 on “Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET” (Up).
It first traded on 25 Jan 2026 and most recently on 2 Aug 2026, 74 days ago. It has traded 236 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.15 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 9.09 |
| $0.110 |
| $0.26 |
| -$0.74 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
| sell |
| 0.01 |
| $0.580 |
| $0.01 |
| Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.24 | $0.570 | $0.14 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.480 | $0.22 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.22 | $0.500 | $0.11 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.530 | $0.1 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.590 | $0.04 | Aug 2, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.1 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.980 | $1.1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.976 | $1.1 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.700 | $1.1 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp | sell | 1.96 | $0.040 | $0.08 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | sell | 1.53 | $0.030 | $0.05 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | sell | 1.85 | $0.330 | $0.61 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ETUp | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ETUp | sell | 5.26 | $0.300 | $1.58 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | sell | 1.63 | $0.730 | $1.19 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ETDown | sell | 1.43 | $0.120 | $0.17 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ETDown | sell | 1.2 | $0.110 | $0.13 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5PM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ETUp | sell | 1.53 | $0.530 | $0.81 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ETUp | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.47 | $0.970 | $0.46 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.65 | $0.960 | $0.62 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.02 | $0.960 | $0.02 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.02 | $0.960 | $0.02 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.05 | $0.960 | $0.05 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.32 | $0.960 | $0.31 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | sell | 0.05 | $0.960 | $0.05 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ETDown | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ETDown | sell | 0.78 | $0.990 | $0.77 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ETDown | sell | 0.27 | $0.980 | $0.26 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1PM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.61 | $0.900 | $0.55 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.01 | $0.870 | $0.01 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.01 | $0.870 | $0.01 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.11 | $0.870 | $0.1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.11 | $0.870 | $0.1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.02 | $0.870 | $0.02 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.09 | $0.870 | $0.08 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.05 | $0.870 | $0.04 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.11 | $0.870 | $0.1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | sell | 0.02 | $0.870 | $0.02 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ETUp | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ETDown | sell | 0.71 | $0.997 | $0.71 | Jun 5, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.