Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.997 | $11.72 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.76 |
| $0.850 |
| $10 |
| Apr 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.038 | $0.45 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.810 | $12.65 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.790 | $9.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 94.77 | $0.133 | $12.58 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.550 | $7.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | sell | 2.46 | $0.730 | $1.8 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | sell | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | sell | 1 | $0.974 | $0.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.084 | $2.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.026 | $0.03 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 94.78 | $0.528 | $50 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.028 | $3.27 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 342.98 | $0.087 | $30 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 165.94 | $0.085 | $14.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.083 | $8.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 333.94 | $0.670 | $223.74 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 333.93 | $0.599 | $200 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.710 | $2.22 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.48 | $0.580 | $4.92 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.49 | $0.589 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.860 | $2.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.700 | $2.09 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.751 | $1.01 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.670 | $5.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.975 | $2.59 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 307.69 | $0.650 | $200 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 155.04 | $0.645 | $100 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.782 | $4.89 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 51.57 | $0.001 | $0.05 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 25.77 | $0.773 | $19.92 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.870 | $19.77 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.495 | $20 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |