Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.630 | $5.67 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.650 |
| $32.5 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.930 | $35.34 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.890 | $26.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.880 | $31.68 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.860 | $35.26 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.700 | $31.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 37 | $0.470 | $17.39 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 59 | $0.530 | $31.27 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.280 | $11.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.860 | $30.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.500 | $17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.958 | $34.49 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.730 | $31.39 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.740 | $31.82 | May 26, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.985 | $31.52 | May 26, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.985 | $31.52 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.983 | $17.69 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 23 | $0.590 | $13.57 | May 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 17 | $0.600 | $10.2 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.986 | $27.61 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.810 | $33.21 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.096 | $7.78 | May 20, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 46 | $0.720 | $33.12 | May 19, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.034 | $1.29 | May 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.580 | $39.44 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.014 | $1.3 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.990 | $1.7 | May 21, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 12 | $0.967 | $11.6 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | sell | 13 | $0.951 | $12.36 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 13 | $0.948 | $12.32 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Kanye launch a token on multiple blockchains?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Kanye launch a token on multiple blockchains?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.008 | $0.1 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 14 | $0.979 | $13.71 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | Mar 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14 | $0.989 | $13.85 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14 | $0.981 | $13.73 | Mar 8, 2025 |