Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?No | sell | 110.11 | $0.998 | $109.89 | Jul 31, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 110.11 |
| $0.999 |
| $110 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 645.45 | $0.989 | $638.35 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 645.45 | $0.990 | $639 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 654.35 | $0.996 | $651.73 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 654.35 | $0.997 | $652.39 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 2.29 | $0.810 | $1.85 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.913 | $4.86 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.939 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 662.61 | $0.985 | $652.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 662.62 | $0.986 | $653.34 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | sell | 654.65 | $0.998 | $653.34 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 654.65 | $0.999 | $654 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 653.72 | $0.996 | $651.11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 653.72 | $0.997 | $651.76 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will M&T Bank (MTB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | sell | 656.38 | $0.996 | $653.75 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 656.39 | $0.997 | $654.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | sell | 656.21 | $0.988 | $648.34 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?No | buy | 656.21 | $0.989 | $648.99 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.890 | $2.06 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.994 | $3.01 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Etuate Lavulavu be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 660.96 | $0.994 | $656.99 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 660.96 | $0.995 | $657.66 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 658.97 | $0.998 | $657.65 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 658.98 | $0.999 | $658.32 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 8.42 | $0.930 | $7.83 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 10.35 | $0.985 | $10.19 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No | sell | 644.23 | $0.997 | $642.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No | buy | 644.24 | $0.998 | $642.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | sell | 644.24 | $0.998 | $642.95 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 644.24 | $0.999 | $643.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | sell | 644.89 | $0.998 | $643.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 644.89 | $0.999 | $644.25 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.950 | $8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 10.35 | $0.966 | $10 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Drew Baglino be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?No | sell | 663.57 | $0.998 | $662.24 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Drew Baglino be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?No | buy | 663.57 | $0.999 | $662.91 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.997 | $5.02 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 664.23 | $0.998 | $662.88 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 664.23 | $0.999 | $663.57 | Nov 9, 2025 |