Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 212 daily closes on record from 22 May 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 36.5% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 8% on 23 May 2025. $35.29K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 212 points, 22 May 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 36.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.21K |
| molki | Yes | 5K |
| cobble | Yes | 1.2K |
The 2025 Tongan general elections will be held on November 30, 2025, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Tonga (Fale Alea ʻo Tonga). This market will resolve according to the next Prime Minister of Tonga following the election. Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Tonga is instated by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Tonga, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-tonga
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 381.97 |
| CarlNorman979 | Yes | 225.05 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 186.54 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 172.95 |
| Patrick2688 | Yes | 166.67 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
| Angela258 | Yes | 139.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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