Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
MichaelHogan3544 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #265,683 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$83.23 observed lifetime PnL, 254 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 46.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4b728832bfc0768f54e3d3b19414b17e1eaccd8e
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 128 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-08-23); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 90 | $0.490 | $49.05 | +$4.95 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | 0.48 | $0.730 | $0.48 | +$0.13 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 13 | $0.320 | $0.18 | -$3.98 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 45 | $0.009 | $0.07 | -$0.34 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.
