Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.870 | $1.09 | Jan 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.26 |
| $0.810 |
| $1.02 |
| Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.996 | $1.02 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.369 | $0.58 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.952 | $1.07 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.944 | $1.07 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 102.5 billion views by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.990 | $1.15 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.925 | $1.46 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.998 | $1.09 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.250 | $0.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.140 | $0.26 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Chile Grande y Unido hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.840 | $4.19 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.510 | $1.34 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.991 | $1.89 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.993 | $1.9 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.810 | $1.41 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?No | sell | 0.41 | $0.962 | $0.39 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 1 time by September 30?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.979 | $1.15 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.997 | $1.15 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.87 | $0.680 | $1.27 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.955 | $1.41 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2025 LIV Golf Indianapolis tournament?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.900 | $1.64 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.930 | $1.03 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 3.53 | $0.350 | $1.24 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in August 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.990 | $1.44 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.83 | $0.802 | $1.47 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.940 | $1.05 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 5.89 | $0.343 | $2.02 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 3.54 | $0.390 | $1.38 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 5.9 | $0.395 | $2.33 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.979 | $1.07 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Trump approval >45% on August 1?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.790 | $2.12 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNo | buy | 3.12 | $0.430 | $1.34 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Trump approval >45% on August 1?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.500 | $1.34 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.900 | $1.15 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Williams vs. MedicWilliams | sell | 2.76 | $0.500 | $1.38 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Williams vs. MedicWilliams | buy | 2.76 | $0.510 | $1.41 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Corey Perry score a goal in Game 4?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.960 | $1.17 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.676 | $1.24 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.848 | $1.21 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 95–109 times May 30–June 6?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.993 | $1.25 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Ross Ulbricht say "Freedom" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 29?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.950 | $1.08 | May 29, 2025 |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.996 | $1.15 | May 26, 2025 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.580 | $1.11 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.540 | $1.04 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.840 | $1.19 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.570 | $0.83 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during his May 13 interview?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.880 | $1.28 | May 13, 2025 |