Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.210 | $840 | Feb 28, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 8K |
| $0.210 |
| $1.68K |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.200 | $620.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 898.21 | $0.880 | $790.32 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 11.7K | $0.855 | $10K | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.835 | $41.75 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 63.73 | $0.320 | $20.39 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 197.84 | $0.310 | $61.33 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 224.73 | $0.300 | $67.42 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 0.6 | $0.290 | $0.17 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 125.82 | $0.039 | $4.92 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 26.84 | $0.942 | $25.28 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.210 | $5.04 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 79 | $0.897 | $70.86 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 6.47K | $0.800 | $5.18K | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.25K | $0.780 | $6.43K | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 375 | $0.780 | $292.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.49K | $0.850 | $2.97K | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 9.03 | $0.930 | $8.4 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 14.51K | $0.900 | $13.05K | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10.04K | $0.870 | $8.74K | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 5K | $0.860 | $4.3K | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 6.64K | $0.840 | $5.58K | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 4.16K | $0.820 | $3.41K | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 6.28K | $0.780 | $4.9K | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 2.7K | $0.990 | $2.68K | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | sell | 9.84K | $0.991 | $9.75K | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 3.42K | $0.924 | $3.16K | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.090 | $111.54 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.012 | $0.27 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.013 | $1.31 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | Aug 31, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 3.39K | $0.840 | $2.85K | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.830 | $830 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 147 | $0.150 | $22.05 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 489.13 | $0.150 | $73.37 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?No | buy | 422.16 | $0.800 | $337.73 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.718 | $1.8K | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.205 | $369 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.201 | $20.1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 2.06K | $0.200 | $411.71 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.191 | $19.1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 86 | $0.190 | $16.34 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.190 | $9.5 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 13.32K | $0.780 | $10.39K | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.530 | $863.9 | May 14, 2025 |