Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.009 | $0.91 | Nov 11, 2024 |
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Grand-Gazebo is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,550,024 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$85.95 observed lifetime PnL, 14 distinct markets, 13 resolved positions, a 23.1% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x4971a43bd96478c26ed1b394859b5a4bd1bfde1b
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 375.23 |
| $0.006 |
| $2.25 |
| Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 4.13K | $0.004 | $16.51 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Will Tyreek Hill win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 4.01K | $0.005 | $20.03 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.003 | $11.39 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Dynamo Kyiv win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 4.28K | $0.005 | $21.4 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 58 | $0.620 | $35.96 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 108.1 | $0.998 | $107.88 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | Oct 6, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 114.34 | $0.996 | $113.88 | Sep 30, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 114.34 | $0.997 | $114 | Sep 30, 2024 |
 Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?Yes | buy | 46.79 | $0.919 | $43 | Sep 12, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | sell | 126.5 | $0.994 | $125.74 | Aug 16, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 126.56 | $0.996 | $126 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 128.12 | $0.998 | $127.86 | Aug 9, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 128.13 | $0.999 | $128 | Aug 9, 2024 |
 USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | sell | 128.12 | $0.998 | $127.86 | Aug 7, 2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 128.13 | $0.999 | $128 | Aug 7, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 127.25 | $0.997 | $126.87 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 127.25 | $0.998 | $127 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 132.26 | $0.997 | $131.86 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 132.26 | $0.998 | $132 | Aug 1, 2024 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.