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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 59.03 | $0.340 | $20.07 | Apr 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 400 |
| $0.050 |
| $20 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETUp | buy | 5.55 | $0.880 | $4.88 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp | buy | 4.91 | $0.990 | $4.86 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown | buy | 4.86 | $0.950 | $4.61 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.34 | $0.730 | $0.98 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | sell | 50.19 | $0.112 | $5.63 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 49.7 | $0.730 | $36.28 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 37 | $0.980 | $36.27 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | buy | 36.13 | $0.850 | $30.71 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 30.93 | $0.930 | $28.77 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp | buy | 28.81 | $0.947 | $27.29 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown | buy | 27.28 | $0.912 | $24.89 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown | buy | 82.1 | $0.818 | $67.16 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp | buy | 67.85 | $0.937 | $63.55 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETDown | buy | 63.53 | $0.900 | $57.18 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETDown | buy | 56.87 | $0.737 | $41.89 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 42.67 | $0.950 | $40.53 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown | buy | 40.55 | $0.950 | $38.53 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp | buy | 38.56 | $0.970 | $37.4 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 37.12 | $0.770 | $28.58 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 28.7 | $0.680 | $19.52 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 34.54 | $0.430 | $14.85 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 38.85 | $0.400 | $15.54 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 30.88 | $0.620 | $19.14 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 38.67 | $0.437 | $16.9 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 16.45 | $0.590 | $9.71 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.517 | $10.03 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 12.04 | $0.300 | $3.61 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 24.45 | $0.397 | $9.71 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 16.73 | $0.580 | $9.7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETUp | buy | 45.63 | $0.561 | $25.59 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 20.18 | $0.480 | $9.69 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 15.69 | $0.064 | $1 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 10.5 | $0.280 | $2.94 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 13.15 | $0.370 | $4.86 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown | buy | 21.17 | $0.458 | $9.69 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 22.56 | $0.430 | $9.7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 108.93 | $0.090 | $9.79 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 78.06 | $0.128 | $9.99 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 350.22 | $0.006 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 203.8 | $0.010 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 245.41 | $0.008 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.002 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.010 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 700.45 | $0.029 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |