Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.52 | $0.920 | $6.45 | +$0.45 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.630 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 4.32 |
| $0.925 |
| $4.23 |
| +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 4.18 | $0.956 | $4.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.12 | $0.971 | $4.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2.04 | $0.980 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.07 | $0.964 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2.04 | $0.982 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 2.02 | $0.989 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.05 | $0.975 | $1.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.08 | $0.960 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.04 | $0.981 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.19 | $0.912 | $1.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 117.65 | $0.017 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 4.2 | $0.953 | $0.27 | -$3.73 |
| buy |
| 6.32 |
| $0.790 |
| $4.99 |
| May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.790 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.810 | $1.35 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.790 | $3.77 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.790 | $1.98 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.610 | $1.02 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.790 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.790 | $4.99 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.620 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.630 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.660 | $1.04 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.760 | $1.09 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.650 | $2.04 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.700 | $1.09 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.700 | $1.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 13.45 | $0.250 | $3.36 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 13.46 | $0.350 | $4.71 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 6.68 | $0.680 | $4.54 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes | buy | 3.83 | $0.650 | $2.49 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 8.36 | $0.680 | $5.68 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.668 | $0.05 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.682 | $4.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 4.1 | $0.997 | $4.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 3.42 | $0.262 | $0.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.608 | $1.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.318 | $1.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.590 | $1.1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.650 | $1.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.972 | $3.99 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.047 | $0.25 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.83 | $0.020 | $0.02 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.037 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.036 | $0.05 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.67 | $0.040 | $0.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.040 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.040 | $0.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.040 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.040 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.040 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.040 | $0.08 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.040 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.031 | $0 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 0.85 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.407 | $1.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.490 | $1.09 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 5.52 | $0.430 | $2.37 | Apr 7, 2026 |