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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.64K | $0.940 | $1.59K | +$41.93 |
 Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.04K | $0.270 | $549.94 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 725.21 |
| $0.940 |
| $693.66 |
| +$11.97 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.895 | $280.5 | +$12 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 228.8 | $0.874 | $202.49 | +$2.49 |
 ByteDance IPO before 2027? | No | 205.34 | $0.955 | $196.1 | +$0.1 |
 Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.930 | $193.2 | +$7.2 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.107 | $133.21 | -$12.23 |
 Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 304.62 | $0.830 | $132.51 | -$120.32 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $90.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.923 | $33.7 | -$150.98 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 90 | $0.550 | $26.55 | -$22.95 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 65.88 | $0.449 | $26.35 | -$3.2 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 23.79 | $0.860 | $23.23 | +$2.77 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 109.47 | $0.913 | $16.09 | -$83.91 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 20.53 | $0.281 | $8.73 | +$2.94 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | No | 34 | $0.920 | $8.16 | -$23.12 |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 9.32 | $0.957 | $6.25 | -$2.67 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.320 | $4.75 | -$11.25 |
| sell |
| 2.5K |
| $0.630 |
| $1.58K |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by April 30?No | buy | 61.26 | $0.993 | $60.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 62.87 | $0.660 | $41.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.570 | $58.71 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 189 | $0.790 | $149.31 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.260 | $312 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.250 | $500 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 2K | $0.980 | $1.96K | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.996 | $1.99K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.968 | $1.21K | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 55.17 | $0.940 | $51.86 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 9.32 | $0.957 | $8.92 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 31 | $0.942 | $29.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 638 | $0.370 | $236.06 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 638 | $0.620 | $395.56 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.215 | $129.23 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.750 | $450 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 96.63 | $0.040 | $3.87 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 168.74 | $0.040 | $6.75 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.920 | $552 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30?No | buy | 4.49K | $0.977 | $4.39K | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.991 | $991 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 103.17 | $0.830 | $85.63 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.274 | $82.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.368 | $110.4 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.116 | $69.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 526.31 | $0.179 | $94.21 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.201 | $1.01 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.15K | $0.994 | $3.13K | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.989 | $2.97K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.980 | $1.61K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 129.5 | $0.960 | $124.32 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 619.59 | $0.949 | $587.99 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.962 | $1.26K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 55.7 | $0.961 | $53.53 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 2.1K | $0.930 | $1.95K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.962 | $1.26K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.985 | $19.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?No | buy | 41.7 | $0.974 | $40.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 900 | $0.969 | $872.53 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 100 | $0.987 | $98.7 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?No | buy | 269.99 | $0.949 | $256.22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 177.18 | $0.830 | $147.06 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.550 | $49.5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.961 | $672.7 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.288 | $20.16 | Feb 15, 2026 |