Latest trade
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:13 AM UTC.
Analytics
Tired-Overshoot has made $126.4 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 30 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-29 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:13 AM UTC.
$19.59 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 35 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Feb 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.57 | $0.950 | $12.69 | -$0.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.57 | $0.950 | $12.89 | 7d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-29 03:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:13 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-29 03:30 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $389.48 and losing ones cost $125.83 across 30 settled positions. 76.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $138.08 on “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $30.44 on “Maple Leafs vs. Islanders” (Maple Leafs).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 Oct 2026. It has traded 34 markets. Its open positions are worth $12.69 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 15.4 |
| $0.350 |
| $5.39 |
| 25d ago |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.810 | $6.88 | Sep 18, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 13.47 | $0.976 | $13.15 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | buy | 8.47 | $0.978 | $8.28 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.920 | $54.11 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 72.25 | $0.930 | $67.19 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?No | buy | 95.39 | $0.959 | $91.47 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Yes | buy | 147.05 | $0.061 | $8.97 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.86 | $0.140 | $9.64 | Jun 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 63.37 | $0.953 | $60.39 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 108.18 | $0.890 | $96.28 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No | buy | 117.57 | $0.920 | $108.16 | Jun 3, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 65.73 | $0.850 | $55.87 | May 27, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?No | buy | 33.91 | $0.880 | $29.84 | May 18, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 77.96 | $0.850 | $66.27 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.04 | $0.171 | $18.18 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?No | buy | 78.06 | $0.160 | $12.49 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.54 | $0.920 | $54.78 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 55.16 | $0.880 | $48.54 | Apr 14, 2026 UTC |
 Maple Leafs vs. IslandersMaple Leafs | buy | 98.19 | $0.310 | $30.44 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Flyers vs. IslandersFlyers | buy | 70.91 | $0.430 | $30.49 | Apr 3, 2026 UTC |
 Celtics vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 39.18 | $0.500 | $19.59 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 67.9 | $0.262 | $17.79 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 41.07 | $0.900 | $36.96 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Nets vs. KingsKings | buy | 34.13 | $0.690 | $23.55 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Clippers vs. PelicansClippers | buy | 48.19 | $0.470 | $22.65 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Pistons vs. HeatPistons | buy | 22.43 | $0.530 | $11.89 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
| Red Wings vs. PredatorsRed Wings | buy | 22.81 | $0.520 | $11.86 | Mar 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 29.08 | $0.130 | $3.78 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. WarriorsWarriors | buy | 44.55 | $0.330 | $14.7 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Pacers vs. WizardsWizards | buy | 57.93 | $0.470 | $27.23 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Pacers vs. NetsPacers | buy | 35.92 | $0.380 | $13.65 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. NuggetsNuggets | buy | 21.53 | $0.510 | $10.98 | Feb 9, 2026 UTC |
| Heat vs. WizardsHeat | buy | 14.64 | $0.840 | $12.3 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.