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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 4.5 | $0.222 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 28.57 |
| $0.035 |
| $0.56 |
| -$0.44 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| May 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 121.97 | $0.001 | $0.12 | May 2, 2026 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?No | buy | 62.59 | $0.016 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 121.97 | $0.008 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.222 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |