Analytics
Resolved No on 14 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 14 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 1.1% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Apr 2026. $2.69M traded over the market's life.
177 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 14 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 1.1% |
| 14 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.74M |
| Indigo Pioneer B801 | Yes | 215.4K |
| Wickier | Yes | 100K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair
| Yes |
| 88.49K |
| chaoswillcome | Yes | 59.55K |
| 99problems123 | Yes | 59.12K |
| 7ufi | Yes | 57.53K |
| wan123 | Yes | 46.52K |
| Idolized-Item | Yes | 42.26K |
| Bountiful-Burning | Yes | 29.24K |
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