Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 9.43 | $0.530 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.133 | $3.99 | 17d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.54 |
| $0.847 |
| $3.41 |
| +$0.41 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.440 | $3.3 | +$1.3 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.77 | $0.620 | $0.84 | -$0.26 |
| buy |
| 9.43 |
| $0.530 |
| $5 |
| 19d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.012 | $0.35 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.08 | $0.822 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.401 | $2.18 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.591 | $3.48 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.994 | $5.58 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.620 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.048 | $6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.75 | $0.364 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.184 | $1 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.129 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.92 | $0.600 | $5.35 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 21.11 | $0.160 | $3.38 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.053 | $2 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.624 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.211 | $4.01 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?Yes | buy | 69.51 | $0.014 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.47 | $0.309 | $2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.215 | $3.22 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?Yes | buy | 46.96 | $0.021 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?Yes | buy | 45.65 | $0.022 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | sell | 4.37 | $0.036 | $0.16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?Yes | buy | 60.15 | $0.017 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?Yes | buy | 85.49 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 8.78 | $0.014 | $0.12 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 4.54 | $0.035 | $0.16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.18 | $0.239 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.079 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |