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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.993 | $1.11 | Feb 4, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.22 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.22 |
| Feb 4, 2026 |
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.994 | $1.24 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.47 | $0.987 | $1.45 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.984 | $1.45 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.998 | $1.15 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.995 | $1.05 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.998 | $1.33 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.990 | $1.11 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.971 | $1.21 | Jan 31, 2026 |