Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 37.22 | $0.994 | $37.2 | +$0.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 88.48 | $0.998 | $88.3 | May 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.45 |
| $0.990 |
| $7.45 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.4 | $0.989 | $5.33 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 19.52 |
| $0.666 |
| $13 |
| May 13, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 15.95 | $0.993 | $15.84 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 118.33 | $0.993 | $117.5 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.300 | $2.79 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?Down | buy | 428.29 | $0.004 | $1.71 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?Yes | buy | 21.02 | $0.356 | $7.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 23.38 | $0.994 | $23.24 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 194.88 | $0.994 | $193.71 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?Down | buy | 6.15 | $0.240 | $1.48 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on March 8?Up | buy | 24.42 | $0.210 | $5.13 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Hawks vs. BucksBucks | buy | 20.41K | $0.520 | $10.61K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETDown | buy | 4.84 | $0.480 | $2.33 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.460 | $92 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 3.25K | $0.002 | $6.49 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?No | buy | 14.57K | $0.003 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 55.83 | $0.996 | $55.61 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 101.82 | $0.994 | $101.21 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 5.69K | $0.989 | $5.63K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.7K | $0.990 | $5.64K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5.71K | $0.988 | $5.64K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5.72K | $0.989 | $5.65K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.73K | $0.983 | $5.63K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.74K | $0.984 | $5.65K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5.73K | $0.989 | $5.67K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5.75K | $0.990 | $5.69K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 5.7K | $0.998 | $5.69K | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 5.71K | $0.999 | $5.7K | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Lightning vs. StarsLightning | sell | 160.1 | $0.510 | $81.65 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 747.18 | $0.994 | $742.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 747.19 | $0.995 | $743.45 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 745.69 | $0.997 | $743.45 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 745.7 | $0.999 | $744.95 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Packers vs. BearsPackers | sell | 509 | $0.460 | $234.14 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 450 | $0.018 | $8.1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.983 | $442.35 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Rockets vs. RaptorsRockets | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Grokipedia released by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 29?Up | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 29?Up | buy | 12.36 | $0.890 | $11 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 29?Up | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 29?Up | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |