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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.47K | $0.871 | $1.4K | +$123.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.520 | $831.24 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| No |
| 712.21 |
| $0.900 |
| $705.44 |
| +$64.37 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No| sell |
| 1.05K |
| $0.262 |
| $275.57 |
| Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.989 | $1.32K | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.113 | $338.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 200 | $0.600 | $120 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 132.78 | $0.320 | $42.49 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 109.74 | $0.935 | $102.61 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.934 | $186.8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.5 | $0.938 | $49.25 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.938 | $187.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.937 | $187.4 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.936 | $187.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.952 | $142.8 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 127.36 | $0.957 | $121.88 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.66 | $0.956 | $12.1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 399.98 | $0.780 | $311.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.039 | $7.84 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.037 | $7.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 2.04K | $0.038 | $77.41 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.036 | $72.24 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Jan 11, 2026 |