Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 14.41 | $0.999 | $14.4 | 16d ago |
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kaixiaoli is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,600,613 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$4.32 observed lifetime PnL, 93 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 98.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x456449d47e090e633a9ecb2509cb231b7011a097
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.002 |
| $1 |
| 16d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.45 | $0.997 | $15.4 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 129.26 | $0.998 | $129 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | May 30, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by May 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.922 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.924 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.891 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?Yes | buy | 129.13 | $0.999 | $129 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 128.26 | $0.998 | $128 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 2?No | buy | 129.26 | $0.998 | $129 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?Yes | buy | 128.11 | $0.999 | $127.98 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 130.12 | $0.999 | $129.99 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?Yes | buy | 130.22 | $0.998 | $129.96 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.17 | $0.005 | $0.9 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 15?Yes | buy | 856.29 | $0.002 | $1.71 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 621.14 | $0.002 | $1.24 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 134.12 | $0.999 | $133.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 131.92 | $0.998 | $131.65 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 131.65 | $0.999 | $131.52 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.