Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 147.18 | $0.870 | $128.04 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 162.27 |
| $0.890 |
| $144.42 |
| Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.190 | $25 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?No | buy | 127.12 | $0.590 | $75 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?No | buy | 118.64 | $0.590 | $70 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?No | buy | 122.84 | $0.366 | $45 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 70.95 | $0.352 | $25 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.420 | $35 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | sell | 327.75 | $0.162 | $53.22 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | sell | 109.25 | $0.370 | $40.42 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.180 | $15 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.400 | $35 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | sell | 36.05 | $0.740 | $26.68 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 41.82 | $0.670 | $28.02 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 46.32 | $0.710 | $32.89 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | sell | 48.07 | $0.680 | $32.69 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 55.75 | $0.550 | $30.66 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | sell | 64.09 | $0.660 | $42.3 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.170 | $15 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?Yes | buy | 349.65 | $0.014 | $5 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 61.76 | $0.670 | $41.38 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 54.08 | $0.750 | $40.56 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 49.06 | $0.870 | $42.68 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 82.35 | $0.640 | $52.7 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 72.11 | $0.730 | $52.64 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | sell | 48.06 | $0.900 | $43.25 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 54.79 | $0.183 | $10 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.420 | $15 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | sell | 35 | $0.840 | $29.4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes | buy | 105.09 | $0.476 | $50 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 89.74 | $0.390 | $35 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August?No | buy | 119.29 | $0.629 | $75 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?No | sell | 75.74 | $0.800 | $60.59 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 124.81 | $0.833 | $104.01 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 135 | $0.652 | $88.03 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Friday?No | buy | 88.54 | $0.678 | $60 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Qatar today?Yes | buy | 93.02 | $0.430 | $40 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 35 | $0.850 | $29.75 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 54.99 | $0.850 | $46.74 | Jun 23, 2025 |