Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.318 | $34.93 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 149.93 |
| $0.773 |
| $115.88 |
| Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 87.82 | $0.660 | $57.96 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 US bank failure by March 31?No | sell | 83.5 | $0.794 | $66.27 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?No | buy | 139.52 | $0.390 | $54.41 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 92.55 | $0.648 | $60 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 91.06 | $0.961 | $87.52 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 91.06 | $0.659 | $60 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 87.83 | $0.683 | $60 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.330 | $60 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.33K | $0.005 | $16.67 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes | buy | 123.16 | $0.487 | $60 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?Yes | buy | 92.8 | $0.647 | $60 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.006 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 149.93 | $0.600 | $89.96 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US bank failure by March 31?No | buy | 83.5 | $0.718 | $59.97 | Dec 2, 2025 |