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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.049 | $0.02 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.115 | $11.73 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 67 |
| $0.937 |
| $62.78 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 35 | $0.870 | $30.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.937 | $56.22 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.880 | $44.88 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.100 | $7.7 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.090 | $0.72 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.090 | $6.03 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.100 | $6.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.783 | $21.14 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.251 | $10.04 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.858 | $43.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.062 | $3.41 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.058 | $3.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 89 | $0.140 | $12.46 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 56 | $0.520 | $29.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.490 | $45.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.830 | $39.84 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.830 | $44.82 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.959 | $40.28 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.760 | $31.16 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 59 | $0.760 | $44.84 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.180 | $15.48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.680 | $44.88 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.976 | $44.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.968 | $40.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.970 | $40.74 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.540 | $41.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 127 | $0.036 | $4.57 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.036 | $4.57 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 47 | $0.956 | $44.93 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.190 | $19.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.190 | $19.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.048 | $3.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.810 | $44.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.810 | $44.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.979 | $1.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.977 | $17.59 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.975 | $1.6 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.981 | $17.66 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.066 | $0.66 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.070 | $4.06 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.976 | $19.52 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?No | sell | 19 | $0.985 | $18.72 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?No | buy | 19 | $0.979 | $18.6 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.975 | $19.5 | Apr 5, 2025 |