Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 25.9 | $0.920 | $24.9 | +$1.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 362.62 | $0.988 | $358.27 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 161.81 |
| $0.995 |
| $161 |
| Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.89K | $0.983 | $4.81K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.81K | $0.980 | $7.66K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 610.98 | $0.978 | $597.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 12.22K | $0.998 | $12.2K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 11.02K | $0.998 | $11K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 30K | $0.998 | $29.94K | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.61K | $0.995 | $9.56K | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.64K | $0.973 | $1.6K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.72K | $0.971 | $7.5K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.61K | $0.994 | $9.55K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6.4K | $0.994 | $6.37K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.970 | $1.94K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 9.52K | $0.969 | $9.22K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.54K | $0.994 | $8.49K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.968 | $4.84K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8K | $0.993 | $7.94K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8K | $0.993 | $7.94K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 220.53 | $0.966 | $213.03 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.4K | $0.993 | $5.36K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 61.61K | $0.993 | $61.18K | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 25.9 | $0.920 | $23.83 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.951 | $95.1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 9.67 | $0.982 | $9.5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 6 | $0.968 | $5.81 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.944 | $4.72 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 474.99 | $0.991 | $470.72 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.79K | $0.991 | $2.77K | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 136.82 | $0.973 | $133.13 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.31K | $0.981 | $2.26K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 288.31 | $0.972 | $280.24 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 775.1 | $0.982 | $761.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.983 | $4.92K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.84K | $0.980 | $3.76K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.89K | $0.980 | $3.81K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 4.14K | $0.986 | $4.08K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.98K | $0.980 | $8.8K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.980 | $4.9K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?Yes | buy | 13.56K | $0.986 | $13.37K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.64K | $0.980 | $13.37K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.7K | $0.980 | $5.59K | Jan 22, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.2 | $0.975 | $41.15 | Jan 21, 2026 |