Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.910 | $39.13 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 43 |
| $0.910 |
| $39.13 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 40 | $0.968 | $38.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 40 | $0.968 | $38.72 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.130 | $10.27 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.140 | $3.22 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 46 | $0.850 | $39.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.860 | $39.56 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.920 | $32.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.290 | $5.22 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 37 | $0.986 | $36.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 37 | $0.987 | $36.52 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.011 | $0.52 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.440 | $37.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 79 | $0.440 | $34.76 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 79 | $0.440 | $34.76 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.029 | $0.52 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.015 | $1.26 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.015 | $0.86 | May 28, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.500 | $42.5 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.490 | $32.34 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 49 | $0.860 | $42.14 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 49 | $0.907 | $44.44 | May 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.016 | $0.13 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.021 | $1.72 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.020 | $1.8 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 62.93 | $0.500 | $31.47 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 89 | $0.500 | $44.5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 151 | $0.150 | $22.65 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.160 | $24.16 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.948 | $9.48 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?No | sell | 6 | $0.968 | $5.81 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 6 | $0.970 | $5.82 | May 21, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.988 | $8.89 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.990 | $1.54 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 12 | $0.864 | $10.37 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will the Jaguars draft Travis Hunter in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.988 | $10.87 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.735 | $6.62 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?No | sell | 11 | $0.990 | $10.89 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12 | $0.924 | $11.09 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.986 | $11.83 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.978 | $10.76 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.028 | $1.06 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?No | sell | 11 | $0.987 | $10.86 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 45.96 | $0.022 | $1.01 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.025 | $0.6 | Apr 13, 2025 |