Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 16 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 201 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2024 to 4 May 2025, the highest close was 18% on 11 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 12% on 15 Dec 2024. $414.49K traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 201 points, 16 Oct 2024 – 4 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2024 | 15.5% |
| 4 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 72.14K |
| Paulibaer | Yes | 10K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 5.64K |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the German Bundesliga soccer league for the current season.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Kuistof | Yes | 1.91K |
| Predictoor | Yes | 1.42K |
| Gatsby | Yes | 1.16K |
| toppertop | Yes | 1.06K |
| slip2 | Yes | 1K |
| lapislazuli | Yes | 561.33 |
| gnomeshells | Yes | 469.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
