Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 356.36 | $0.011 | $3.92 | Oct 29, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 23.89 |
| $0.054 |
| $1.29 |
| Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.31 | $0.032 | $2.57 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.76 | $0.964 | $5.55 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs be between $5.00-5.25 in May?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.999 | $4.39 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.994 | $2.72 | May 31, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No | buy | 4.26 | $0.998 | $4.25 | May 27, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.998 | $1.21 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 6.7 | $0.998 | $6.69 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.999 | $1.45 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will PFP win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.999 | $6.35 | May 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8.16 | $0.979 | $7.99 | May 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.16 | $0.979 | $7.99 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 189.16 | $0.997 | $188.59 | May 3, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 189.17 | $0.998 | $188.79 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 66.62 | $0.997 | $66.42 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 78.25 | $0.997 | $78.02 | May 2, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 2?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.994 | $4.29 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.995 | $6.05 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 52.54 | $0.999 | $52.49 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 78.26 | $0.998 | $78.1 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 66.62 | $0.998 | $66.49 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 40.12 | $0.999 | $40.08 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 60.62 | $0.999 | $60.56 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | sell | 63.1 | $0.999 | $63.04 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will the Giants draft Will Campbell?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.997 | $1.18 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?No | buy | 9.77 | $0.997 | $9.74 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.999 | $40.08 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?No | buy | 9.35 | $0.999 | $9.34 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce no change?No | buy | 11.15 | $0.998 | $11.13 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the People's party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 60.62 | $0.999 | $60.56 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 25.47 | $0.994 | $25.32 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?No | buy | 63.1 | $0.999 | $63.04 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 60.81 | $0.997 | $60.63 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 113.83 | $0.999 | $113.72 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 60.81 | $0.998 | $60.69 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 113.83 | $0.999 | $113.72 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?No | buy | 22.79 | $0.999 | $22.77 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 142.26 | $0.997 | $141.83 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 500-524 times April 4 - 11?No | buy | 28.19 | $0.999 | $28.16 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Alex Albon win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 27.06 | $0.999 | $27.03 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 142.26 | $0.998 | $141.98 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 163.75 | $0.998 | $163.42 | Apr 5, 2025 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 163.76 | $0.998 | $163.43 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 165.81 | $0.998 | $165.48 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 165.82 | $0.999 | $165.65 | Apr 3, 2025 |
 Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 50.27 | $0.996 | $50.07 | Mar 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 113.33 | $0.994 | $112.65 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $77000 and $79000 on Mar 21?No | buy | 86.95 | $0.995 | $86.52 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.993 | $10.04 | Mar 19, 2025 |