Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.490 | $0.21 | -$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 39 | $0.090 | $3.51 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 143 |
| $0.090 |
| $12.87 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.971 | $48.55 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.130 | $23.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.130 | $23.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.320 | $5.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 162 | $0.320 | $51.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 82 | $0.840 | $68.88 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.100 | $6.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.100 | $6.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.730 | $49.64 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 96 | $0.860 | $82.56 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 78.8 | $0.850 | $66.98 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.090 | $13.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.046 | $3.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.042 | $2.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.030 | $2.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.037 | $2.96 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 164 | $0.500 | $82 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.035 | $1.23 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.038 | $5.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.510 | $86.7 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 8.42 | $0.640 | $5.39 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.991 | $65.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.799 | $73.51 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 77 | $0.700 | $53.9 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 67 | $0.490 | $32.83 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 144 | $0.290 | $41.76 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.859 | $6.87 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.872 | $6.98 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 40 | $0.430 | $17.2 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.52 | $0.874 | $0.45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.982 | $0.98 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.985 | $0.99 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 8 | $0.934 | $7.47 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.986 | $1.5 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.026 | $0.26 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.990 | $1.3 | May 6, 2025 |
 Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 9 | $0.966 | $8.69 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.027 | $0.03 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?No | sell | 12 | $0.834 | $10.01 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.980 | $11.76 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 12 | $0.974 | $11.69 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 13 | $0.986 | $12.82 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.956 | $9.56 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.071 | $3.2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.956 | $10.52 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Apr 13, 2025 |