Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.080 | $5.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 65 |
| $0.080 |
| $5.2 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.140 | $3.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.090 | $4.23 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.110 | $7.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.080 | $1.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.080 | $1.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.780 | $41.34 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.012 | $0.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 55 | $0.809 | $44.5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.808 | $44.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.030 | $2.7 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.213 | $6.6 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.204 | $28.56 | May 30, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.074 | $2.66 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.290 | $14.21 | May 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.440 | $44.88 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 48 | $0.934 | $44.83 | May 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.041 | $2.54 | May 28, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.790 | $40.29 | May 26, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.790 | $16.59 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.994 | $9.94 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.039 | $0.47 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | buy | 8 | $0.970 | $7.76 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | sell | 9 | $0.018 | $0.16 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.714 | $7.85 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.962 | $28.86 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?No | sell | 16 | $0.011 | $0.18 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?No | buy | 24 | $0.011 | $0.26 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.977 | $22.47 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.976 | $27.33 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 26 | $0.915 | $23.78 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.036 | $2.88 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.963 | $26 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.966 | $26.08 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 26 | $0.995 | $25.87 | May 24, 2025 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 26 | $0.995 | $25.87 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.988 | $1.75 | May 23, 2025 |
 Will 'My Hero Academia: You’re Next' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Year Award for 2025?No | buy | 28 | $0.978 | $27.38 | May 23, 2025 |