Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 8:00 AM UTC.
Analytics
Octagonaloo is down $16.49 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 8:00 AM UTC.
$29.59 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 25 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Aug 25, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 352.29 | $0.910 | $320.41 | -$0.18 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 16 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 37.31 | $0.938 | $35 | 8h ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-26 03:12 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $263.21 and losing ones cost $164.27 across the latest 50 settled positions. 92% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $40.69 on “Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $66 on “Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?” (Yes).
It first traded on 28 Dec 2024 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 242 markets. Its open positions are worth $421.86 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 108.9 |
| $0.924 |
| $94.74 |
| -$5.88 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | No | 6.66 | $0.991 | $6.59 | -$0.01 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 220 | $0.005 | $0.11 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 40.65 |
| $0.910 |
| $36.99 |
| 11h ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 26.58 | $0.910 | $24.19 | 15h ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 15h ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 3 | $0.910 | $2.73 | 19h ago |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No | buy | 82.06 | $0.910 | $74.68 | 21h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 168.3 | $0.830 | $139.69 | 1d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 156.48 | $0.230 | $35.99 | 2d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.230 | $0.21 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1 | $0.230 | $0.23 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 49.51 | $0.230 | $11.39 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 207.9 | $0.200 | $41.58 | 5d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No | sell | 190.38 | $0.926 | $176.29 | 6d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No | sell | 11.72 | $0.926 | $10.85 | 6d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No | buy | 202.1 | $0.897 | $181.28 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 168.3 | $0.820 | $138.01 | 10d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.52 | $0.998 | $5.51 | 11d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.53 | $0.995 | $5.5 | 15d ago |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 108.9 | $0.924 | $100.62 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.991 | $6.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 425.79 | $0.850 | $361.92 | 20d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 425.79 | $0.840 | $357.66 | 21d ago |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.999 | $8.09 | 21d ago |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.999 | $8.1 | 22d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.4 | $0.994 | $5.37 | 25d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.959 | $1.74 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 71.51 | $0.993 | $71.01 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 155.71 | $0.993 | $154.62 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 190.37 | $0.993 | $189.04 | 26d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?No | sell | 413.95 | $0.999 | $413.54 | 26d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 8.3 | $0.999 | $8.29 | 27d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.998 | $4.1 | 27d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?No | buy | 413.96 | $0.996 | $412.3 | 28d ago |
 Will Solana dip to $40 in September?No | sell | 9.24 | $0.998 | $9.22 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 402.7 | $0.996 | $401.09 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | buy | 8.31 | $0.999 | $8.3 | Sep 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $40 in September?No | buy | 9.25 | $0.995 | $9.2 | Sep 11, 2026 UTC |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 464.6 | $0.527 | $244.95 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 464.6 | $0.610 | $283.41 | Sep 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 466.43 | $0.996 | $464.56 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 466.43 | $0.992 | $462.7 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 461.2 | $0.999 | $460.74 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.999 | $6.6 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 419.61 | $0.964 | $404.5 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in August?No | sell | 15.39 | $0.999 | $15.37 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?No | sell | 17.18 | $0.999 | $17.16 | Aug 25, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.