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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 246 | $0.999 | $245.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.960 |
| $38.4 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 20 | $0.134 | $2.68 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.820 | $1.46 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 3 | $0.500 | $1.5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.045 | $2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | sell | 5 | $0.370 | $1.85 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.380 | $6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No | buy | 250 | $0.360 | $90 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 100.54 | $0.988 | $99.33 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 100.55 | $0.550 | $55.3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?No | sell | 22.39 | $0.370 | $8.28 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?No | buy | 44.79 | $0.447 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Comment" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.780 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Probability" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.021 | $21.01 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.037 | $37 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.052 | $52 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.066 | $65.89 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.108 | $269.66 | Sep 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.038 | $4.48 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 212.05 | $0.060 | $12.72 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.053 | $0.66 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 949.99 | $0.990 | $940.88 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.102 | $102.23 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 216.7 | $0.076 | $16.47 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.058 | $29.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.860 | $77.4 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.018 | $9.21 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Sep 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.070 | $2.8 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.780 | $70.2 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 497 | $0.024 | $11.93 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.058 | $1.28 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.023 | $0.07 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 973.5 | $0.039 | $37.86 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 716.71 | $0.028 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 259.92 | $0.700 | $181.94 | Aug 1, 2025 |