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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 20.18 | $0.991 | $20 | Jul 6, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 14.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $14 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | May 13, 2026 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 18.02 | $0.999 | $18 | May 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?No | buy | 20.02 | $0.999 | $20 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 70.07 | $0.999 | $70 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?No | buy | 33.03 | $0.999 | $33 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 12.08 | $0.993 | $12 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Jan 22, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 38.31 | $0.992 | $38 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 76.08 | $0.999 | $76 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Jumper airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Aug 21, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10.6K | $0.004 | $42.4 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 22.02 | $0.999 | $22 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 11.03 | $0.997 | $11 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 15–August 22?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.84K | $0.005 | $14.22 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
MetaMask airdrop in Q2 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 8, 2025 |
Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | May 27, 2025 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | May 27, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?No | buy | 11.02 | $0.998 | $11 | May 27, 2025 |