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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 15?Yes | buy | 12.04 | $0.260 | $3.13 | Aug 12, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 2.89 |
| $0.730 |
| $2.11 |
| Aug 12, 2025 |
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.670 | $1.03 | Aug 4, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be less than $160 on August 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.035 | $0.35 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | sell | 17 | $0.016 | $0.27 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on August 1?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up | buy | 0.46 | $0.060 | $0.03 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | sell | 10 | $0.987 | $9.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 1?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.460 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | sell | 11.3 | $0.089 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No | sell | 2.39 | $0.790 | $1.89 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.640 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $17m?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.220 | $0.88 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.059 | $1.18 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 31 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be less than $180 on July 30?Yes | sell | 2.81 | $0.680 | $1.91 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.385 | $1.76 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be less than $180 on July 30?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 30?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.950 | $4.76 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on July 30?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.510 | $1.51 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will anyone say "LinkedIn" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?No | sell | 30 | $0.017 | $0.52 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will anyone say "LinkedIn" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?No | buy | 17.93 | $0.035 | $0.63 | Jul 30, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 42 | $0.024 | $1.01 | Jul 30, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 95.62 | $0.015 | $1.43 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 10 | $0.466 | $4.66 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.890 | $8.28 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 85.63 | $0.016 | $1.37 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.066 | $1.37 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.810 | $7.54 | Jul 29, 2025 |
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | sell | 11.97 | $0.995 | $11.91 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?No | buy | 11.98 | $0.677 | $8.11 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.760 | $5.06 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $135-145m?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $145m?Yes | buy | 112.22 | $0.009 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Yes | buy | 50.71 | $0.039 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |