Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.200 | $27 | -$13 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 396.56 | $0.144 | $57.1 | 16d ago |
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| Yes |
| 89.29 |
| $0.112 |
| $2.54 |
| -$7.46 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.012 | $2.08 | -$7.92 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | Yes | 20 | $0.043 | $0.75 | -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.038 |
| $95 |
| Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 213.99 | $0.613 | $131.18 | Jun 25, 2026 |
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 21.09 | $0.090 | $1.9 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Switzerland leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.240 | $48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.420 | $37.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.053 | $1.06 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 478.2 | $0.207 | $98.99 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5Over | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.920 | $82.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.015 | $15 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over | sell | 87.71 | $0.200 | $17.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 184.55 | $0.011 | $2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 676.31 | $0.003 | $2.26 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.630 | $56.7 | Jun 23, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.516 | $46.44 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 87.72 | $0.570 | $50 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 401.81 | $0.002 | $0.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 401.81 | $0.025 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | sell | 173.16 | $0.900 | $155.84 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 173.17 | $0.447 | $77.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.012 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 113.2 | $0.021 | $2.38 | Jun 11, 2026 |
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.8 | $0.015 | $2.73 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.07 | $0.069 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | sell | 1.71K | $0.003 | $5.13 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | May 23, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 1.71K | $0.006 | $10 | May 23, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 287.86 | $0.007 | $2 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.005 | $0.18 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Apr 5, 2026 |
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 193.16 | $0.080 | $15.48 | Mar 25, 2026 |
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.016 | $8 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan OmarSomething | buy | 121.1 | $0.025 | $3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 65.31 | $0.404 | $26.39 | Mar 25, 2026 |
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 458.18 | $0.140 | $64.15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 246.09 | $0.235 | $57.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.910 | $6.22 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 478.2 | $0.206 | $98.51 | Mar 10, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?Down | buy | 19.23 | $0.810 | $15.58 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 135.86 | $0.997 | $135.45 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 98.51 | $0.670 | $66 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?Yes | buy | 56.34 | $0.710 | $40 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 246.1 | $0.406 | $100 | Mar 2, 2026 |