Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.023 | $2.55 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 38 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.84 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 33.88 | $0.980 | $33.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 113 | $0.979 | $110.63 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 185 | $0.520 | $96.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.330 | $4.95 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.333 | $10.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 191 | $0.520 | $99.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.530 | $54.06 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 70 | $0.860 | $60.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 171 | $0.140 | $23.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.140 | $23.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 178 | $0.480 | $85.44 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 178 | $0.420 | $74.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.015 | $1.76 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.011 | $1.29 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 124 | $0.730 | $90.52 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 108 | $0.250 | $27 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.260 | $57.72 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 86 | $0.058 | $4.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.058 | $4.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.011 | $1.11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.930 | $81.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 50 | $0.850 | $42.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.150 | $11.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 104 | $0.943 | $98.07 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.530 | $27.56 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 38 | $0.910 | $34.58 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.070 | $3.22 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 136 | $0.590 | $80.24 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 151 | $0.670 | $101.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 151 | $0.660 | $99.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 172 | $0.580 | $99.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 172 | $0.580 | $99.76 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.936 | $21.53 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.140 | $20.86 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.059 | $3.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 135 | $0.550 | $74.25 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 135 | $0.540 | $72.9 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 1 | $0.710 | $0.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1 | $0.710 | $0.71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.189 | $1.32 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 344.13 | $0.191 | $65.73 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 203 | $0.490 | $99.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 203 | $0.490 | $99.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.490 | $9.31 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 149 | $0.540 | $80.46 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 99 | $0.955 | $94.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 104 | $0.934 | $97.14 | May 31, 2026 |