Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $3.7 | +$1.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 52m ago |
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Golden Signal 73F3 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #577,594 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$5.17 observed lifetime PnL, 50 distinct markets, 42 resolved positions, a 54.8% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x31414c01faf4a3c71d2a33d7fd78eafacfc273f3
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 3.7 |
| $0.540 |
| $2.93 |
| +$0.93 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2.78 | +$0.78 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 8.7 | $0.230 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | No | 4.17 | $0.480 | $1.81 | -$0.19 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026? | Yes | 2.74 | $0.730 | $1.81 | -$0.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
| buy |
| 8.7 |
| $0.230 |
| $2 |
| 9h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 18h ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.292 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $188 in August?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 29d ago |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?Down | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 12?Up | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.460 | $1.61 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.411 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.420 | $1.26 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.550 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.5 | $0.440 | $1.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.737 | $1.85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during remarks in Georgia?No | buy | 3 | $0.380 | $1.14 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.