Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 139.91 | $0.992 | $138.79 | Jul 26, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 139.92 |
| $0.972 |
| $136 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?No | buy | 55.55 | $0.900 | $50 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 203.33 | $0.920 | $187.06 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 203.34 | $0.950 | $193.17 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 93.3 | $0.974 | $90.88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 191.67 | $0.006 | $1.15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.963 | $1.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 94.5 | $0.966 | $91.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 91.29 | $0.920 | $83.99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.770 | $1.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.220 | $1.13 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.820 | $8.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 71.75 | $0.890 | $63.86 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?No | buy | 42 | $0.976 | $40.99 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 68.36 | $0.912 | $62.34 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 111.29 | $0.959 | $106.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 106.72 | $0.940 | $100.32 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 110 | $0.912 | $100.32 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.349 | $1.79 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.211 | $1.79 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 115.13 | $0.914 | $105.23 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 116.76 | $0.901 | $105.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 116.76 | $0.890 | $103.92 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 104.01 | $0.999 | $103.91 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.400 | $3.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.16 | $0.240 | $3.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.16 | $0.250 | $3.54 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.5 | $0.650 | $0.97 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 7.58 | $0.600 | $4.55 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.620 | $4.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | sell | 5.46 | $0.860 | $4.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.840 | $4.59 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.915 | $4.58 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 104.02 | $0.965 | $100.34 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 110 | $0.912 | $100.32 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.910 | $9.14 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 168.19 | $0.917 | $154.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 46.65 | $0.922 | $43.01 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 47.68 | $0.902 | $43.01 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.900 | $8.21 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | sell | 6.62 | $0.880 | $5.83 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.840 | $2.39 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 107.58 | $0.965 | $103.81 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.320 | $1.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.2 | $0.897 | $1.08 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 103.8 | $0.969 | $100.58 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 112 | $0.898 | $100.58 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.770 | $2.19 | Feb 24, 2026 |