Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 187.87 | $0.999 | $187.68 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 163.48 |
| $0.995 |
| $162.66 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 174.44 | $0.999 | $174.26 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 179.36 | $0.999 | $179.18 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 161.33 | $0.997 | $160.84 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?No | buy | 2.69 | $0.998 | $2.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 134.14 | $0.999 | $134.01 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?No | buy | 42.81 | $0.999 | $42.77 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 54.02 | $0.994 | $53.7 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 113.85 | $0.998 | $113.62 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.04 | $0.995 | $57.75 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 89.83 | $0.996 | $89.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 27.77 | $0.999 | $27.74 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 6.36 | $0.998 | $6.35 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 117.44 | $0.998 | $117.21 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 33.39 | $0.999 | $33.36 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 47.13 | $0.997 | $46.99 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 120.65 | $0.996 | $120.17 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 106.45 | $0.999 | $106.34 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 96.72 | $0.995 | $96.24 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?No | buy | 22.82 | $0.999 | $22.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.85 | $0.983 | $18.53 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 45.26 | $0.965 | $43.68 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 121.06 | $0.961 | $116.34 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 36.22 | $0.997 | $36.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 402.88 | $0.999 | $402.48 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 204.46 | $0.993 | $203.03 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25.61 | $0.999 | $25.58 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 201.59 | $0.140 | $28.22 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 587.6 | $0.300 | $176.28 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 180.32 | $0.991 | $178.7 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.4 | $0.043 | $1.35 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 197.44 | $0.969 | $191.32 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.55 | $0.022 | $1.86 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 163.98 | $0.660 | $108.23 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 165.21 | $0.964 | $159.26 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 37.61 | $0.660 | $24.82 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | buy | 300.86 | $0.440 | $132.38 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 120.92 | $0.995 | $120.32 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 120.92 | $0.996 | $120.44 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 146.23 | $0.984 | $143.89 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 132.48 | $0.999 | $132.35 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 132.48 | $0.998 | $132.22 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 130.39 | $0.995 | $129.74 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 130.39 | $0.996 | $129.87 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 131.72 | $0.998 | $131.46 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $33m?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.994 | $6.24 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 131.72 | $0.999 | $131.59 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 127.44 | $0.997 | $127.06 | Jun 4, 2025 |