Analytics
tetlock has made $40.47 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 23 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-11 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-11 19:29 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 09:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 09:26 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-11 19:29 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $158.94 and losing ones cost $11.28 across 23 settled positions. 87% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $26.81 on “Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?” (No); the largest loss, $9.23 on “Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 39 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.22 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
