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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.110 | $6.93 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 31.92 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.51 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 82 | $0.110 | $9.02 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.110 | $9.02 | Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 29 | $0.860 | $24.94 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.890 | $28.48 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 29 | $0.420 | $12.18 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 29 | $0.430 | $12.47 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.991 | $28.74 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.810 | $25.92 | Jun 19, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.856 | $27.39 | May 26, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.400 | $12.4 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.798 | $31.12 | May 25, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.798 | $31.12 | May 25, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 17 | $0.810 | $13.77 | May 25, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 38 | $0.835 | $31.73 | May 25, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 23 | $0.870 | $20.01 | May 23, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 23 | $0.770 | $17.71 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 23.02 | $0.690 | $15.88 | May 21, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.690 | $32.43 | May 21, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | May 20, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.170 | $8.84 | May 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 29 | $0.962 | $27.9 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.026 | $1.04 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.979 | $1.27 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.988 | $1.7 | May 25, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.990 | $1.75 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.021 | $1.93 | May 7, 2025 |
Will the Titans draft a Quarterback?No | sell | 50 | $0.027 | $1.35 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No | sell | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Apr 18, 2025 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No | buy | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?No | buy | 10 | $0.993 | $9.93 | Apr 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | Apr 12, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 14 | $0.881 | $12.33 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.921 | $12.89 | Apr 4, 2025 |
Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?No | buy | 13 | $0.984 | $12.79 | Mar 27, 2025 |