Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 2.7% on 25 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 8% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 26 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points up, to 8% on 27 Feb 2025. $1.57M traded over the market's life.
185 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 25 Feb 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2025 | 2.7% |
| 8 May 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 978.41K |
| starsend | Yes | 27.95K |
| IreMax22 | Yes | 20.04K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the name of the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-pope
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 14.88K |
| Stable-Brocolli | Yes | 9.09K |
| mk207 | Yes | 6.11K |
| AdolfHitler1488 | Yes | 5.84K |
| WOODCUTTING | Yes | 5K |
| lo01100111 | Yes | 4.92K |
| RealKoehler | Yes | 4.51K |
