Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 |
Lunar Signal 6416 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #598,151 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$4.32 observed lifetime PnL, 76 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 34.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x2af4a0c3764cd2801e781e2c25154bc882316416
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.120 |
| $12 |
| Jun 17, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 100.67 | $0.629 | $63.3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100.31 | $0.978 | $98.1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.340 | $34 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.31 | $0.974 | $97.7 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.2 | $0.976 | $97.8 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 114.42 | $0.025 | $2.9 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will another team win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.002 | $1.1 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 30, 2025 |
 Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.993 | $99.4 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 20, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes | buy | 102.49 | $0.113 | $11.6 | Mar 20, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.41 | $0.981 | $98.5 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.969 | $97 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Memphis win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.005 | $1.4 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.31 | $0.980 | $98.3 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | buy | 100.28 | $0.990 | $99.3 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 100.31 | $0.978 | $98.1 | Mar 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | buy | 101.3 | $0.177 | $17.9 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Rebounds?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | buy | 325 | $0.004 | $1.3 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.