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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 15.62 | $0.999 | $15.6 | 20d ago |
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| buy |
| 15.62 |
| $0.999 |
| $15.6 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?No | buy | 215.43 | $0.998 | $215 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No | buy | 215.22 | $0.999 | $215 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No | buy | 215 | $0.940 | $202 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 202.02 | $0.990 | $200 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 200.4 | $0.993 | $199 | May 24, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.83 | $0.910 | $181 | May 22, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 181.31 | $0.982 | $178 | May 21, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.35 | $0.970 | $173 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 173.14 | $0.953 | $165 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 164.96 | $0.957 | $157.85 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 158.95 | $0.881 | $140 | May 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.77 | $0.880 | $123.88 | May 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 124.27 | $0.837 | $104 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 104.21 | $0.998 | $104 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 56.11 | $0.998 | $56 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 48.05 | $0.999 | $48 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 103.73 | $0.993 | $103 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.999 | $103 | May 1, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 103.1 | $0.999 | $103 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 103.6 | $0.999 | $103.5 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 103.09 | $0.999 | $102.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?No | buy | 102.88 | $0.969 | $99.69 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 17?Yes | buy | 100.09 | $0.999 | $99.99 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 100.14 | $0.993 | $99.44 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 99.1 | $0.999 | $99 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 95.57 | $0.994 | $95 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 95.1 | $0.999 | $95 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 90.49 | $0.997 | $90.22 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?No | buy | 91.95 | $0.924 | $85 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.979 | $1.3 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 85.09 | $0.999 | $85 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 87.74 | $0.912 | $80 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.875 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 80.97 | $0.988 | $80 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 80.08 | $0.999 | $80 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 81.97 | $0.999 | $81.89 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 81.89 | $0.999 | $81.81 | Feb 4, 2026 |