Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 27 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 6.8% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 0.8% on 26 Apr 2026. $705.3K traded over the market's life.
163 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 5:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 27 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 0.9% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 311.33K |
| Smoggy-Mutton | Yes | 29.06K |
| runzero | Yes | 28.87K |
| Keen Lynx 0B73 | Yes | 19.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-april-21-april-28
| lnwza | Yes | 10.45K |
| Unhealthy-Poultry | Yes | 9.5K |
| Cheery-Initialise | Yes | 9.5K |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | Yes | 5.02K |
| Violet Ledger 1E39 | Yes | 4.75K |
| Crafty-Ordination | Yes | 4.08K |
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